Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002528 0.002685 0.002853 0.003047 0.003268 0.003513 0.003808
2025-03-30 0.002279 0.002489 0.002727 0.003020 0.003379 0.003812 0.004387
2025-04-06 0.002075 0.002309 0.002583 0.002936 0.003392 0.003979 0.004831
2025-04-13 0.001943 0.002193 0.002495 0.002899 0.003445 0.004192 0.005372
2025-04-20 0.001782 0.002027 0.002328 0.002738 0.003306 0.004114 0.005458
2025-04-27 0.001712 0.001967 0.002287 0.002735 0.003379 0.004342 0.006081
2025-05-04 0.001681 0.001953 0.002301 0.002804 0.003560 0.004763 0.007178
2025-05-11 0.001628 0.001906 0.002268 0.002802 0.003631 0.005016 0.008058
2025-05-18 0.001610 0.001903 0.002293 0.002884 0.003842 0.005555 0.009874
2025-05-25 0.001561 0.001856 0.002252 0.002864 0.003882 0.005784 0.011074
2025-06-01 0.001507 0.001798 0.002193 0.002811 0.003857 0.005879 0.011957
2025-06-08 0.001491 0.001792 0.002208 0.002873 0.004042 0.006458 0.015138
2025-06-15 0.001466 0.001775 0.002207 0.002915 0.004205 0.007072 0.019936
2025-06-22 0.001423 0.001730 0.002164 0.002884 0.004228 0.007360 0.024085
2025-06-29 0.001371 0.001669 0.002094 0.002804 0.004146 0.007350 0.026324
2025-07-06 0.001333 0.001629 0.002053 0.002769 0.004149 0.007584 0.032240
2025-07-13 0.001269 0.001549 0.001949 0.002620 0.003905 0.007049 0.027828
2025-07-20 0.001246 0.001526 0.001930 0.002618 0.003965 0.007430 0.037324
2025-07-27 0.001239 0.001528 0.001949 0.002682 0.004174 0.008372 0.081870
2025-08-03 0.001218 0.001507 0.001931 0.002680 0.004238 0.008872 0.199850
2025-08-10 0.001215 0.001512 0.001956 0.002755 0.004493 0.010267 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001192 0.001487 0.001931 0.002737 0.004521 0.010753 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001164 0.001454 0.001890 0.002688 0.004467 0.010834 NaN